Strategies, Systems, Tips and Advice For National Hunt Handicap Jumps Racing Betting. Part 2.

Weight in National Hunt

Exactly the same as with flat racing, weight is a crucial factor in determining winners in National Hunt jumps racing.

In handicap jumps racing weight is crucial in tightening up the races and drawing horses together towards the finish and this is supported by the historical racing databases.

Jumping ability is of course also crucial and is every bit as important in hurdling as it is in chasing even though it can be seen that the hurdles are definitely easier obstacles compared with fences.

The 2 other main components of form in National Hunt racing are speed and stamina and there is of course the run in to the finishing line which requires acceleration at the end of what are often long races usually over 2 miles.

National Hunt handicaps

Horse racing over jumps is subject to the same “grading” concepts as are applied to flat racing.

There are 10 classes varying from Class A to Class G with 3 separate grades at Class A and also an additional Class H referring to Hunter Chases.

The main difference between the flat and jumps racing is that in National Hunt, high class horses can compete in handicaps as high as Class A – Grade 2.

Handicap Chases

Handicap Chases are dominated by the 5 handicap positions at the top of the weights, with 3 out of 4 races being won by race horses in these positions.

It is obvious therefore that the top 5 handicap weights are the positions where you should primarily concentrate your search for winners.

The next criterion to examine in making a final selection is our old favourite – starting price.

It can be seen from historical results that compared with flat racing betting, the odds about winners are generally shorter in jumps racing betting than on the flat, often because the fields themselves are so much smaller.

Examining the UK databases of horse racing results we can state that statistically 56% of winners are in the starting price area between 2-1 and 7-1.

So in terms of betting field reduction we are looking for horses in the top 5 weights with starting prices ranging between 2-1 and 7-1.

Obviously this is not sufficient criteria on its own, but it provides a valid starting point for reducing a Handicap Chase field quickly towards reaching a final selection.

Making a selection – Exchange Betting Forecast, Betting Shop or Racecourse Starting Price.

With the advent of Betfair and horse racing exchange betting there is not that much difference between using racecourse prices, betting shop prices or betting exchange prices.

With broadband internet, wireless technology and all the other magical gadgetry now surrounding horse race betting these days the reality is that all these starting prices feed off each other in a complex interactive web and the starting prices offered tend to draw together relatively quickly.

By the time of the off there is not much difference between the different starting prices on the various different horse race betting mediums.

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